Welcome to the 7th edition of ‘Radar’ – Ortec Finance’s climate risk newsletter from our Climate Scenarios & Sustainability team to help investors stay informed on the latest developments on climate risk management and sustainable finance.

There have already been many developments in the climate risk management landscape in the first half of 2025, most notably the inaugural release of short-term climate scenarios by the Network of Central Banks and Supervisors for Greening the Financial System (NGFS).

In line with this ongoing interest, this issue features two webinar recordings on the topic. The first discusses the role of longer-term NGFS scenarios in climate risk management frameworks and how these scenarios can be practically applied in the investment process. The second recording specifically focuses on the new short-term scenarios, covering important topics including how physical, transition and market pricing risks have been assessed and quantified.

Physical risks – widely considered by investors as the dominant climate risk as net-zero goals fade from focus, are the subject of our lead article. We examine how and whether these risks are sufficiently captured in climate scenario modelling frameworks and help readers better understand damage functions and the differences between quadratic and logistic approaches in an investment context.

Following the response for further insights on our 2025 Ortec Finance Climate Scenario update, as well as the caution we have highlighted regarding the insufficient pricing of climate risks, we have also delivered webinars on each respective topic, available below. If you enjoy these webinars, don’t forget to register for our next session in September, which will discuss climate risk considerations for private assets - an increasingly important asset class for institutional investors.

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The role of damage functions in assessing physical climate risks 

How do different damage functions affect the assessment of physical risks in the investment landscape?

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Webinar

Webinar recording: Incorporating NGFS short-term climate scenarios into investment risk management
We explore whether these scenarios sufficiently simulate the potential near-term impacts of climate change on macroeconomies, sectors and the financial system.

Radar - Climate change

Webinar recording: Utilizing NGFS climate scenarios for climate risk analysis
 How can NGFS climate scenarios be applied in the investment process?

Radar - Pension funds

Webinar recording: 2025 Ortec Finance Climate Scenarios
Learn about our 11th update, which highlights the most significant climate risks impacting institutional investors. 

Radar - Have your say

Upcoming webinar: Investing in private assets through a climate change lens
Register for our webinar and learn how this asset class is exposed to climate change across physical, transition and market pricing risks and opportunities.

Ortec Finance explores sustainable infrastructure’s outperformance with the Global Infrastructure Basel Foundation

In this joint whitepaper with GIB, we illustrate how economic, and climate scenarios can identify opportunities for private infrastructure investments.

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CSS team Ortec Finance
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